Manifest Density

Michele Tafoya Just Ran the Table on Minnesota’s GOP Establishment, and I’m Here for It

By Tammy-Jo Pritchett · August 12, 2026
Opinion

Let me tell you something. When I’m carpooling four kids to soccer and piano and whatever else is on the calendar this week, I don’t have time for politicians who talk in circles for forty minutes and say nothing. I do have time for a woman who spent a decade on NFL sidelines getting yelled at by coaches in freezing rain and came out the other side with four Emmys and a spine. Michele Tafoya just won the Minnesota Republican Senate primary by double digits, and the people who said she couldn’t do it are awfully quiet right now.

Fifty-one percent. That’s what she pulled with the Associated Press calling the race at 9:50 Tuesday night. Former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze, the guy the Minnesota Republican Party actually endorsed at their convention in May, finished at 22 percent. Former NBA player Royce White got 9 percent. I’m no math teacher, but that’s not a close race. That’s a thumping.

Michele Tafoya won the Minnesota Republican Senate primary by double digits.Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA (CC BY-SA 2.0) via Wikimedia Commons
Michele Tafoya won the Minnesota Republican Senate primary by double digits.

Here’s what I love about this, and here’s what the party bosses in Minnesota need to sit with for a while: they picked their guy. They went to their little convention, they slapped their stamp on Schwarze, and the actual voters looked at that endorsement and said, “No thanks.” The NRSC had Tafoya’s back. President Trump did not. And she won anyway. The voters chose the woman who spent years calling plays on national television over the candidate the insiders hand-picked, and I think that tells you everything about who the Republican base actually trusts right now.

Tafoya ran on the things I talk about in my group chat at 11 p.m. after the kids are finally asleep. Mandatory minimum prison sentences for fraudsters. Deporting illegal migrants who steal taxpayer money. Fighting tooth and nail against the left’s push to abolish ICE. Supporting the SAVE Act. And my personal favorite, because I have daughters who play sports: getting men out of women’s sports. She said it plain. No hedging, no consultant-approved mush. Just a sentence that every parent in America with a daughter on a volleyball court already understands in their bones.

She raised $5.3 million. She walked into Farmfest and defended Trump’s tariffs while acknowledging they might cause short-term pain for farmers, then proposed actual fixes to the H-2A visa program instead of just wringing her hands. When’s the last time you heard a candidate admit something might be hard and then offer a solution in the same breath? I’ll wait.

Tina Smith is the retiring Democratic senator from Minnesota.U.S. Senate Photographic Studio (Public domain) via Wikimedia Commons
Tina Smith is the retiring Democratic senator from Minnesota.

Now here’s the part that should scare every Democrat in Minnesota. That state hasn’t elected a Republican senator since 2002. Tina Smith is retiring. The seat is open. And the woman who just took the nomination started her career at KFAN radio in Minneapolis covering the Vikings. She’s not some carpetbagger flown in by D.C. consultants. She’s homegrown. She knows the state. She knows the people. And she has name recognition that money simply cannot buy.

She’ll face either Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan or Rep. Angie Craig in November. Both of them will have the full weight of the Democratic machine behind them, and both of them will have to explain to Minnesota parents why they’ve spent the last several years standing by while the institutions that are supposed to protect our kids did everything but.

Tafoya wrote on X before the polls closed: “Minnesota is in play. We have a real opportunity to flip this Senate seat and defeat far-left socialist Democrats in November.” I’ve got four kids, a full calendar, and a lot of questions for the people running this country. But I also have eyes. And what I see is a woman who just beat the establishment, beat the party insiders, and beat the doubters without breaking a sweat. November can’t come fast enough.

Editor’s note. This author treats a thumping victory like a personal pep talk for the establishment, conveniently forgetting that the establishment's own guy finished second while their preferred candidate finished third. (W.K.)